Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000706 0.000802 0.000903 0.001018 0.001144 0.001279 0.001432
2025-09-14 0.000552 0.000685 0.000834 0.001014 0.001224 0.001460 0.001743
2025-09-21 0.000465 0.000612 0.000785 0.001003 0.001267 0.001573 0.001954
2025-09-28 0.000394 0.000548 0.000738 0.000984 0.001293 0.001663 0.002134
2025-10-05 0.000358 0.000522 0.000730 0.001009 0.001368 0.001808 0.002382
2025-10-12 0.000326 0.000496 0.000720 0.001028 0.001433 0.001941 0.002614
2025-10-19 0.000289 0.000460 0.000691 0.001019 0.001460 0.002024 0.002785
2025-10-26 0.000257 0.000426 0.000663 0.001007 0.001481 0.002097 0.002943
2025-11-02 0.000235 0.000406 0.000652 0.001017 0.001529 0.002206 0.003150
2025-11-09 0.000214 0.000384 0.000635 0.001016 0.001562 0.002294 0.003329
2025-11-16 0.000187 0.000351 0.000600 0.000987 0.001552 0.002323 0.003429
2025-11-23 0.000165 0.000322 0.000568 0.000960 0.001544 0.002354 0.003530
2025-11-30 0.000149 0.000304 0.000553 0.000957 0.001570 0.002432 0.003700
2025-12-07 0.000136 0.000288 0.000539 0.000956 0.001599 0.002515 0.003878
2025-12-14 0.000122 0.000270 0.000520 0.000945 0.001611 0.002574 0.004022
2025-12-21 0.000108 0.000250 0.000498 0.000927 0.001612 0.002616 0.004143
2025-12-28 0.000103 0.000246 0.000502 0.000951 0.001677 0.002752 0.004402
2026-01-04 0.000098 0.000241 0.000501 0.000969 0.001733 0.002875 0.004643
2026-01-11 0.000088 0.000227 0.000486 0.000960 0.001746 0.002936 0.004794
2026-01-18 0.000080 0.000213 0.000470 0.000949 0.001755 0.002989 0.004934
2026-01-25 0.000075 0.000207 0.000467 0.000958 0.001797 0.003093 0.005152
2026-02-01 0.000069 0.000198 0.000458 0.000958 0.001822 0.003171 0.005332
2026-02-08 0.000060 0.000182 0.000434 0.000929 0.001800 0.003176 0.005401